Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.001894 0.002011 0.002132 0.002266 0.002412 0.002565 0.002739
2025-04-20 0.001666 0.001823 0.001992 0.002188 0.002410 0.002654 0.002944
2025-04-27 0.001564 0.001753 0.001962 0.002213 0.002507 0.002843 0.003259
2025-05-04 0.001502 0.001717 0.001961 0.002263 0.002627 0.003057 0.003609
2025-05-11 0.001463 0.001702 0.001979 0.002330 0.002767 0.003297 0.004001
2025-05-18 0.001408 0.001661 0.001962 0.002351 0.002845 0.003462 0.004306
2025-05-25 0.001329 0.001586 0.001897 0.002306 0.002836 0.003512 0.004460
2025-06-01 0.001269 0.001531 0.001853 0.002282 0.002851 0.003591 0.004654
2025-06-08 0.001232 0.001504 0.001841 0.002299 0.002916 0.003737 0.004946
2025-06-15 0.001183 0.001457 0.001802 0.002276 0.002926 0.003808 0.005134
2025-06-22 0.001141 0.001417 0.001769 0.002260 0.002943 0.003886 0.005336
2025-06-29 0.001101 0.001379 0.001736 0.002241 0.002954 0.003955 0.005527
2025-07-06 0.001051 0.001328 0.001688 0.002204 0.002945 0.004005 0.005708
2025-07-13 0.000988 0.001257 0.001611 0.002124 0.002870 0.003955 0.005732
2025-07-20 0.000966 0.001241 0.001608 0.002146 0.002945 0.004131 0.006126
2025-07-27 0.000955 0.001238 0.001621 0.002194 0.003058 0.004373 0.006648
2025-08-03 0.000950 0.001244 0.001647 0.002259 0.003202 0.004669 0.007288
2025-08-10 0.000930 0.001229 0.001642 0.002278 0.003275 0.004858 0.007757
2025-08-17 0.000893 0.001187 0.001597 0.002235 0.003246 0.004878 0.007925
2025-08-24 0.000865 0.001156 0.001567 0.002213 0.003250 0.004950 0.008194
2025-08-31 0.000849 0.001143 0.001562 0.002228 0.003315 0.005131 0.008682
2025-09-07 0.000823 0.001115 0.001534 0.002207 0.003317 0.005201 0.008961
2025-09-14 0.000801 0.001091 0.001511 0.002191 0.003328 0.005287 0.009280